Bitcoin’s RSI Flashes Warning Signs as Price Stalls Below $92K

Bitcoin trades near $91,500 after failing to hold $92K as RSI drops below 60, putting focus on trend strength and the risk of a cycle shift.

Bitcoin (BTC) is trading around $91,500 after failing to hold above the $92,000 level earlier today. The asset has posted a minor daily gain but is down 1% over the past week.

Analysts are now watching technical signals, especially the RSI, which has dropped below a level that often reflects strength in trend cycles.

RSI Drops Below 60, Trend at Risk

The monthly Relative Strength Index (RSI) has slipped under 60, raising questions about the current phase of the cycle. Analyst Egrag Crypto expected it to stay above that level, saying,

“I expected RSI to hold above 60 and continue toward the 80–90 cycle-top zone.” They added, “We are now in the neutral-to-slightly bearish zone. This area often acts as a decision zone, not a final verdict.”

While the RSI is starting to curve upward, momentum remains uncertain. Egrag noted that reclaiming 60 could bring the bull cycle back into play. If not, the structure may shift toward deeper consolidation, with the next RSI support around 38.

$92K Still Capping Bitcoin Price Action

Bitcoin briefly reached $92,400 on Monday, but soon withdrew. That action was short-lived, and it coincided with the resurgence of tension between US President Trump and Federal Reserve Chair Powell. Since then, BTC has fallen back under the threshold of $92,000.

The $92,000 level remains a key hurdle. Until the asset breaks and holds above it, the chance of a return to the yearly open price increases. Prior analysis also pointed to a possible move toward $70,000 if downside pressure builds in the weeks ahead.

Moreover, Bitcoin continues to trade above a short-term ascending trendline and the 21-day moving average. This structure is helping the price hold its ground near $90,000. Michaël van de Poppe noted,

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#Bitcoin stabilizes and is performing quite well, despite global uncertainties.

The recipe remains the same:

Hold above the 21-Day MA and starts grinding up towards the $94.000 resistance zone.

With everything that’s happening, it’s even strengthening the use case of $BTC. pic.twitter.com/HdEYv0YrPH

— Michaël van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL) January 12, 2026

The $94,000 level is the next clear resistance. A break above that may open the way toward $100,400 and higher zones. Below current levels, a breakdown would weaken the bullish setup.

Price Range Limits Momentum for Now

Crypto analyst CryptosBatman described BTC’s current move as stuck inside a weekly inside bar pattern. He explained,

“The market is super boring right now… price is moving within the highs and lows of the weekly candle from 17th November.”

Daan Crypto Trades pointed out that Q1 often brings stronger price action for Bitcoin. He noted, “The last time it did awful was in 2018… Q1 does tend to be quite good, especially in recent years.” Traders remain focused on whether BTC can hold above support or if another leg lower is next.